Newsletter

View Housing Market Watch RSS feed

San Francisco Bay Area Housing Report- September 2007

Oct 29, 2007

The San Francisco Bay Area housing market set yet more records during the month of September. Homes sold at the slowest pace seen in two decades and foreclosure activity was higher than ever.

Bay Area Housing Data

Median Home Price Comparison

County Med. Price Sept 06 Med. Price Sept 07 % Chg
Alameda $587,250 $556,000 -5.3%
Contra Costa $550,000 $551,250 0.2%
Marin $797,000 $810,000 1.6%
Napa $610,000 $544,250 -10.8%
San Francisco $759,000 $773,500 1.9%
San Mateo $760,000 $760,000 0.0%
Santa Clara $671,500 $696,500 3.7%
Solano $460,000 $410,000 -10.9%
Sonoma $530,000 $500,000 -5.7%

Source: DataQuick

Median home prices fell considerably in some parts of the Bay Area region in the month of September. The largest price declines were in Napa and Solano Counties, both of which experienced a decrease of nearly 11 percent. Price drops are being attributed to the failing mortgage market and to the rising rate of foreclosures.

Home/Condo Sales Activity Comparison

12 Month: Home Sales for Sept 2006 vs. Sept 2007 (Entire Bay Area)

# Sold Sept 06# Sold Sept 07% Change
8,374 5,014 -40.1%

1 Month: Home Sales Aug 2007 vs. Sept 2007 (Entire Bay Area)

# Sold Aug 07# Sold Sept 07 % Change
7,299 5,014 -31.3%

Home sales in the Bay Area have been on a downward slide for the last 32 months. Sales fell 40.1 percent in a year over year comparison during the month of September and 31.3 percent compared to the previous month.

12 Month: Home Sales for Sept 2006 vs. Sept 2007 (By County)

County Sold Sept 06 Sold Sept 07 % Chg
Alameda 1,690 948 -43.9%
Contra Costa 1,784 916 -48.7%
Marin 292 197 -32.5%
Napa 129 68 -47.3%
San Francisco 567 469 -17.3%
San Mateo 738 486 -34.1%
Santa Clara 1,986 1,235 -37.8%
Solano 606 321 -47.0%
Sonoma 582 374 -35.7%

Source: DataQuick

During the month of September, Bay Area home sales fell to the lowest level seen in two decades. The largest declines occurred in Contra Costa, Napa, and Solano Counties.

Metropolitan Area Rent Comparison

1 Bedroom Fair Market Rent (12 Month Comparison)

Area 1 Bdr Rent Sept 061 Bdr Rent Sept 07 % Change
Napa $845 $856 1.3%
Oakland-Fremont $1,045 $1,055 0.9%
San Francisco $1,227 $1,239 0.9%
San Jose-Sunnyvale $1,059 $1,068 0.8%

2 Bedroom Fair Market Rent (12 Month Comparison)

Area 2 Bdr Rent Sept 062 Bdr Rent Sept 07 % Change
Napa $1,098 $1,112 1.3%
Oakland-Fremont $1,238 $1,250 0.9%
San Francisco $1,536 $1,551 0.9%
San Jose-Sunnyvale $1,273 $1,284 0.8%

3 Bedroom Fair Market Rent (12 Month Comparison)

Area 3 Bdr Rent Sept 063 Bdr Rent Sept 07 % Change
Napa $1,519 $1,538 1.3%
Oakland-Fremont $1,679 $1,695 0.9%
San Francisco $2,051 $2,071 0.9%
San Jose-Sunnyvale $1,831 $1,846 0.8%

Source: HUD

Fair market rents in the Bay Area did not change much between 2006 and 2007, but some rent increases have been reported, particularly in the San Francisco and San Jose areas. According to quarterly survey by RealFacts, rents have increased by as much as 12 percent over the last year in these two cities.

Across the nine-county Bay Area region, the average rent was up nine percent in the third quarter, rising from $1,411 to $1,539.

Foreclosure Comparison

12 Month: Bay Area Q3 Notices of Default (Houses and Condos)

County Q3 2006 Q3 2007 % Chg
Alameda 803 2,126 164.8%
Contra Costa 1,012 3,216 217.8%
Marin 89 172 93.3%
Napa 43 163 279.1%
Santa Clara 670 1,655 147.0%
San Francisco 149 252 69.1%
San Mateo 290 581 100.3%
Solano 510 1,513 196.7%
Sonoma 231 749 279.1%
Entire Bay Area 3,797 10,427 174.6%

Source: DataQuick

Foreclosure activity nearly doubled once again in the Bay Area during the third quarter of this year as compared to the same quarter last year. Sonoma, Napa, and Contra Costa Counties had the largest increases.

The advocacy group ACORN (Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now) is estimating that 4,800 of the subprime loans made to Bay Area borrowers during 2006 are likely to fall into foreclosure over the next couple of years. The cost to homeowners, lenders and Bay Area cities is estimated to be $1.5 billion.

12 Month: California Foreclosure Activity (Houses and Condos)

Total Foreclosures Q3 2006 Total Foreclosures Q3 2007 % Chg
27,218 72,571 166.6%

Source: DataQuick

A record number of California homeowners were in some stage of foreclosure during the last quarter. Since 1992, an average of 34,781 filings occurred on a quarterly basis. The current foreclosure rate is double that.

Approximately 50 percent of the state's foreclosure activity is concentrated in 293 of California's 1,465 zip codes. Merced, San Joaquin and Riverside Counties had the highest foreclosure rates in the third quarter, while San Francisco, Marin and San Mateo Counties had the lowest rates.

Bay Area Housing Projections

Clearly, the trouble has only just begun for the Bay Area. As more ARM loans reset in the coming months, foreclosure rates will continue to climb and the market will be flooded with more inventory that cannot be sold. This should mean that prices will continue to move downward.

Previous Bay Area Housing Reports

Follow the links below to read previous housing reports for the San Francisco Bay Area:

Related Articles

Where the Presidential Candidates Stand on a Mortgage Bailout

The housing crisis is a big issue for many voters. Not surprisingly, John McCain and Barack Obama offer vastly different plans to solve it. Let's see where they stand.

Three Reasons Why a Mortgage Bailout Is a Terrible Idea

An open letter to all of the lawmakers and taxpayers who think a mortgage bailout is what we need to solve the housing crisis.

Most Expensive Cities and States to Rent a Two-Bedroom Apartment

A national survey found that Stamford, Connecticut has most expensive rents among other U.S. cities. Residents need a household wage of $31.58 to afford fair market rent on a two-bedroom rental unit. Find out which other metro areas and states have high housing costs.

The Housing Market Is Not Making a Comeback

The National Association of Realtors is still working overtime to convince the American consumer that the housing market is starting to turn around. What's worse is that some media outlets are buying this story and passing it on to people who are looking for real news.

The Latest in Mortgage Bailouts

The worst housing slump since the Great Depression is prompting all manner of new bailout plans. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke encourages banks to forgive portions of mortgage debt, the Democrats propose using billions in federal dollars on buying up bad loans, and the Bush Administration is prepared to dump bank losses on the taxpayers' shoulders.

Senate Passes FHA Reform Bill

The U.S. Senate passed legislation on Friday that will expand the capabilities of the Federal Housing Administration. The bill will loosen underwriting standards and raise the limits on loans. Although this legislation is supported in certain circles, critics call it a threat to taxpayers.

US Housing Bust vs. Japan Housing Bust: What We Can Learn

The recent rise and fall of the U.S. housing market is not that different from Japan's multi-decade housing crash. We'll compare the two bubbles here and see if there is anything that the U.S. can and should learn from Japan's fallacies.

Bay Area Housing Report - January 2007

The housing market continues to slip in most parts of the Bay Area. Median home prices dropped most notably in Sonoma and Solano County, while Marin and Santa Clara County housing markets saw modest increases.

Survey Says Most Renters Won't Buy a Home

A survey commissioned by a national federation of state and local apartment associations shows that most renters will not be jumping into the U.S. housing market anytime soon. Has renting become the smart decision?